Integrating COVID-19 Models at Different Scales for Infection Risk Estimation and Control Optimization
Collin Schwantes, Benno Lee PhD, Marjorie Willner PhD, Ben Ortiz, Viveca Pabon-Harr PhD
Intro
![model diagram]()
SARS-COV-2 Transmission
- Inhalation of infectious particles
- Introduction of fomites to mucus membranes
- Presence of infectious particles and fomites
Hazard Controls
![hierarchy of controls]()
Image produced by University of California Davis
Problem Statement
Assessing risk of SARS-COV-2 infection in indoor spaces is complicated because interactions at multiple spatial and temporal scales influence fine scale disease transmission.
Simulation Framework
An extensible simulation engine accepts modules that modify transmission dynamics.
[add diagram of code]
Model layers
![model diagram]()
Estimating external infections
[get explanation from trevor]
Micro MCMC model using mobility data from cellular phones and
Estimating spatial infections